I might note that just because a PARTICULAR defendant is excluded does not mean a rape did not occur- rolls eyesWhat is the percentage of rape crimes that are false accusations ?
Peter Neufeld and Barry C. Scheck of the Innocence Project:
They stated, “Every year since 1989, in about 25 percent of the sexual assault cases referred to the FBI where results could be obtained, the primary suspect has been excluded by forensic DNA testing. Specifically, FBI officials report that out of roughly 10,000 sexual assault cases since 1989, about 2,000 tests have been inconclusive, about 2,000 tests have excluded the primary suspect, and about 6,000 have “matched” or included the primary suspect.”
The authors continued, “these percentages have remained constant for 7 years, and the National Institute of Justice’s informal survey of private laboratories reveals a strikingly similar 26 percent exclusion rate.”
If the foregoing results can be extrapolated, then the rate of false reports is roughly between 20 (if DNA excludes an accused) to 40 percent (if inconclusive DNA is added). The relatively low estimate of 25 to 26 percent is probably accurate, especially since it is supported by other sources.
http://overlawyered.com/2006/05/false-ra…
Susan Brownmiller's book on sexual assault entitled ';Against Our Will'; (1975). Brownmiller claimed that false accusations in New York City had dropped to 2 percent after police departments began using policewomen to interview alleged victims.
Elsewhere, the two percent figure appears without citation or with only a vague attribution to ';FBI'; sources. Although the figure shows up in legislation such as the Violence Against Women Act, legal scholar Michelle Anderson of Villanova University Law School reported in 2004, ';no study has ever been published which sets forth an evidentiary basis for the two percent false rape complaint thesis.';
In short, there is no reason to credit that figure.
';Forty-one percent of all reports are false.';
This claim comes from a study conducted by Eugene J. Kanin of Purdue University. Kanin examined 109 rape complaints registered in a Midwestern city from 1978 to 1987.
Of these, 45 were ultimately classified by the police as ';false.'; Also based on police records, Kanin determined that 50 percent of the rapes reported at two major universities were ';false.';
Although Kanin offers solid research, I would need to see more studies with different populations before accepting the figure of 50 percent as prevalent; to me, the figure seems high.
But even a skeptic like me must credit a DNA exclusion rate of 20 percent that remained constant over several years when conducted by FBI labs. This is especially true when 20 percent more were found to be questionable.
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/arti…
A 1997 article in the Columbia Journalism Review dealing with the debate surrounding false reporting, noted that wildly different figures, from 2% to 50% of all rape reports, have been presented:[6]
';... one explanation for such a wide range in the statistics might simply be that they come from different studies of different populations... But there's also a strong political tilt to the debate. A low number would undercut a belief about rape as being as old as the story of Joseph and Potiphar's wife: that some women, out of shame or vengeance ... claim that their consensual encounters or rebuffed advances were rapes. If the number is high, on the other hand, advocates for women who have been raped worry it may also taint the credibility of the genuine victims of sexual assault.'; [6]
In her work, ';The Legacy of the Prompt Complaint Requirement, Corroboration Requirement, and Cautionary Instructions on Campus Sexual Assault';, Michelle J. Anderson of the Villanova University School of Law states: ';As a scientific matter, the frequency of false rape complaints to police or other legal authorities remains unknown'; [7]. The FBI's 1996 Uniform Crime Report states that 8% of reports of forcible rape were determined to be unfounded upon investigation [8], but that percentage does not include cases where an accuser fails or refuses to cooperate in an investigation, or drops the charges.
In 1994, Dr. Eugene J. Kanin of Purdue University investigated the incidences, in one small urban community, of false rape allegations made to the police between 1978 and 1987. Unlike those in many larger jurisdictions, this police department had the resources to ';seriously record and pursue to closure all rape complaints, regardless of their merits';. The falseness of the allegations was not decided by the police, or by Dr. Kanin; they were ';... declared false only because the complainant admitted they are false.'; The number of false rape allegations in the studied period was 45; this was 41% of the 109 total complaints filed in this period. The figure of 41% forms a lower estimate of the total number of false rape accusations given to the police during this period. It is unlikely that a significant number of valid rape complaints were recanted. All accusers were told th
EDIT: Kate - good reference, I never claimed the sources I cited were correct.
They show, as your reference clearly states, no one knows.
Last line of the Article you cited:
';For the reporter, the conclusion is clear. Don't rely on one source. Talk to the local sexual assault counselors, talk to the local police, talk to the FBI, talk to the academics. Try to make some sense out of all the different numbers. And be careful.';
Let's assume they are right with the number of 8%.
';That's four times higher than the average of the false-reporting rates of the other crimes tracked by the FBI in its Uniform Crime Report.'; (9th paragraph second sentence in the article you cited.)
Even if it is half right, that is twice as high.What is the percentage of rape crimes that are false accusations ?
Vlad’s answer is highly flawed.
1. The FBI quote is HIGHLY misleading. When they talk about prime suspects that means the person who committed the crime is unknown- in other words it is stranger rape, not date rape. It says nothing about false claims.
2. The Purdue study cannot be generalized to all rape cases. The authors did not say “';Forty-one percent of all reports are false,” that would never be published in a journal. No reputable social scientist would claim that 20 year old data from one city is a big enough pool to generalize from, particularly when the number is so tiny. What he actually said was ';Certainly our intent is not to suggest that the 41 percent incidence found here be extrapolated to other populations, particularly in light of our ignorance regarding the structural variables.';
The Columbia Journalism is probably the best explanation of why the number is so hard to measure. http://backissues.cjrarchives.org/year/9… They quote an 8% false report rate, but also admit that there is no way of knowing whether or not the police departments are using the correct guidelines to determine if a report is false.
Like others have said, our own justice system says false accusations for rape are the same as other crimes. But the conviction rate for rape is poor, compared to other crimes. So if few rapists are accused, few are charged, and even less are convicted, just how many are being falsely accused and imprisoned?
So do anti-fems believe that huge percentages of men who say they have been raped are lying too? Or is it just women they believe are the chronic liars about rape, not men? Anti-fems don't see that minimizing the rape of women and discouraging women from speaking up is also minimizing the rape of men and discouraging men from admitting what's happened to them too. But this is not about what will help male or female victims, this is about hating feminism and discounting victims in their quest to destroy the evils they think have occurred because of feminism.
FYI: If someone has been ';falsely accused'; multiple times of rape, it's not a good sign, you know?
Some statistics:
- Various sources estimate that only 16-24% of rapes are reported
- 8% are determined unprosecutable (not enough to form a case), and 2-3% false
- 54% of reported rapes end in conviction
- Of convicted rapists, most see no jail time (21%) or under 11 months jail time (24%)--this is the lowest of any violent crime.
For those that are bad at math, that means that 46% of reported rape accusations do not end in convictions, while the false reporting rate is no higher than 3%. Furthermore, 67% of reported rapists end up spending less than 11 months behind bars or serving no time at all.
That means that while between 1 in 33 and 50 women make false accusations of rape, 2 out of 3 accused rapists spend less than a year beyond bars, don't serve time, or are not convicted.
But, wait! Let's add in all the other rapes that are estimated never to be reported. If we go with a more conservative estimate, 20% of rapes are reported (many studies say this is lower, but I'm going to make this as lenient to anti-feminist nay-sayers as possible).
Now the numbers get even scarier. If only 1 in 5 rapes are reported, that means that only 11% (about 1 in 10) end in conviction, and only 5% of all rapists end up serving more than 11 months in prison.
So 9 out of 10 rapists get away with it totally. And 19 out of 20 rapists serve less than 11 months behind bars.
While the false reporting rate is no more than 3%.
This is an outrage. A veritable crime against humanity. If statistics like this don't wake people up to how incredibly messed up our justice system is when it comes to the crime of rape, nothing will.
This isn't something that's knowable. What we sometimes forget amid statistics is, in most criminal cases (particularly those that end in acquittal), we don't know if the defendant is truly guilty or innocent - we just know whether or not we decided to punish them. We often don't even know if the crime was actually committed at all.
Our system denotes people accused of criminal acts as 'innocent until proven guilty.' This is in recognition that, in many cases with all types of crimes, it's not possible to know absolutely whether the defendant is guilty or innocent - sometimes, it's not even possible to garner substantial evidence either way. So we default to innocent, because it's our country's philosophy that it's better to let a guilty person free than it is throw an innocent person in prison (not to mention destroy their reputation, etc.).
But the fact is, in almost all trials of virtually anything that don't end in conviction, we don't know whether the defendant is guilty or innocent. Less than 5% of rape trials end in conviction, so the rate of false allegations is somewhere between 0% and 95%.
Nearly 100%.
After all, it would be silly to rape someone, knowing that you could go to prison for, like, decades. No woman, no matter how hott, is worth THAT.
Of course, women like to THINK that they are irresistably hott, and ';rape-worthy';. and so they like to punish guys who DON'T rape them, by ';crying rape';, and getting the guy in a whole bunch of trouble.
There's really no way to know for sure.
You can't just take a look at the statistics for convictions and assume they're all guilty anymore. Because quite frankly our law system has abandoned innocent until proven guilty when it comes to rape.
Likewise I'm sure there are guilty men who have gotten off the hook...
All statistics are guesses at best...
I doubt we'll ever get a ';real'; number but the 2% that feminists claim is complete garbage. The rather higher claim that some anti-feminist websites I've seen is probably too high, imo. The percentage is somewhere between 10% and 25%. It most definitely is NOT 2%.
According to FBI they are no higher than false report of other crimes.
http://www.peaceathomeshelter.org/DV/rea…
A more correct question would be, what percentage of rape victims never report the crime because they're afraid they won't be believed?
We don't know the media has kept us blind.
police officers have said between 40% and 60% the accusations are false and that they dont go any further than the police station.
like 99%
feminists opinion 0.0001%
anti-feminists opinion 99.999%
No comments:
Post a Comment